Wednesday, January 20, 2010

Northern AZ winter storms

Hi all, I just got a detailed message from the weather service in Bellemont. Our Law Enforcement Officer for the forest had a conference call with the head meteorologist. We have heard anything from 3 to 7 feet and when I spoke with the weather service this morning, they did not like all of the rumors going around! So here you go, straight from the Weather Service in northern Arizona.
  • There is going to be three systems that will bring snow AND rain next week, with the third system being the most problematic.
  • The first storm will start Monday evening and last until Tuesday mid-day, this will bring snow above 7000 feet (6-10 inches); 6000-7000 feet (2-6 inches); below 6000 feet (rain).
  • Second storm starting on Tuesday night will last until mid-day Wednesday, 6500 feet (8-12 inches snow); 5500-6500 feet (4-10 inches); below 5500 feet (rain).
  • Third storm starting Wednesday until Friday is warmer and will be the longest bringing wide spread RAIN across our area. The models for this storm are unpredictable at this time with rain, snow or a combination of both. This storm is being described as being intense for the amount precipitation that could fall (one estimate is 2-4 inches of rain). One inch of rain is equivalent to 10 inches of snow so, do the math! This storm will bring strong possible winds 40-50 mph. Flash flooding is possible in Gila and Yavapai County (Oak Creek and Verde rive tributaries).

The weather service is still discouraging travel and ask that you bring needed supplies to your home as needed. Whatever or wherever you may be please be careful and don't drive unless you ABSOLUTELY have to.

P.S. For your information our office will be CLOSED on Monday, January 18, 2010 in honor of Martin Luther King day.

Be safe everyone and pay close attention to the weather, Jeannie

Jean Gilbertson
Mogollon Rim Ranger District